ESTIMATION OF THE TRAFFIC INTENSITY DYNAMICS ON THE SEGMENTS OF FEDERAL ROADS

Abstract

One of the important indicators in the road construction industry is the future traffic intensity. There are several approaches to its assessment, but they do not allow taking into account the peculiarities of traffic on certain sections of the road, the economic situation in the region, and others. The article presents an analysis of the dynamics of changes in traffic intensity. The work was carried out on the example of federal roads of the Altai Territory: P-256 «Chuysky Trakt » Novosibirsk - Biysk - Barnaul - Gorno-Altaisk - border with Mongolia, P-256 «Chuysky Trakt» Approach to the city of Barnaul, A-322 Barnaul - Rubtsovsk - border with the Republic of Kazakhstan. For the study, 4 sensors were selected, according to which the average daily mean annual values of traffic intensity were obtained in the period from 2015 to 2019. Based on the analysis of distributions, traffic conditions (suburban, suburban mode), assumptions were made about the trends of further changes in traffic intensity. The necessity of dividing roads into segments, taking into account the peculiarities of the movement, was confirmed.